This work was submitted as an assignment for the credit completion of the course “Indian Financial and Business Models” at Shailesh J Mehta School of Management, IIT Bombay.
Introduction
India is a melting pot of culture, peoples and various societies. The definition of India various from person to person and perspective to perspective. Having caught in the dichotomies present in this tolerant country, India is neither what it is made out to be nor what it is thought to be. The realms of reality are beyond comprehension of an ordinary mind. It involves some deep soul digging as well as facts and inferences put out by leading scholars of the outside world.
For far too long India has been ridiculed as a country where any financial, business and management model would fail because of its belief in karma, rebirth and caste[1]. But seldom is written or known about how these three factors and many more additional ones were the ones that made India the greatest nation of all times from 1 AD to 1700 AD. History is as good as it is reported and the modern Indian academic, sociological and economic thinking[1] was misguided by proponents of outside world who failed to understand the Indian way of working.
[1]In 1983, Paul Bairoch, a Belgian economist, came out with his study of the world economy and his findings astounded the West. He said that in 1750 India’s share of world GDP was 24.5%, China’s 33%, but the combined share of Britain and the US was just 2%.
India’s share, Bairoch found, fell to 20% in 1800; to 18% in 1830; and finally crashed to 1.7% in 1900, while China’s crashed to 6.2% from 33%. In these 150 years, the combined share of Britain and the US rose to from 2% to over 41%. Bairoch shook the West by saying that in middle 19th century, the West had a lower standard of living than Asians (Indians and Chinese). The Organisation for Economic Cooperation and Development [OECD], constituted a Development Institute Studies under Angus Maddisson, a great economic historian, to conduct a comprehensive research into economic history and the ulterior motive was to prove Bairoch wrong.
Angus Maddisson postulated, ‘If Bairoch is right, then much more of the backwardness of the third world presumably has to be explained by colonial exploitation’ and ‘much less of Europe’s advantage can be due to scientific precocity, centuries of slow accumulation, and organisational and financial superiority’. After two decades of hard work, Maddision published his studies titled ‘World Economic History – A Millennial Perspective in 2001’.
His study confirmed Bairoch’s study of 150 years and more, as Maddisson studied the entire 2000 years economic history. Maddisson showed that India was the leading economic power of the world from the 1st year of the first millennium till 1700 – with 32% share of world’s GDP in the first 1000 years and 28% to 24% in the second millennium till 1700.
China was second to India except in 1600 when China temporarily overtook India. India again overtook China in 1700. The global economic play was in the hands of India and China till 1830. Maddison confirmed that India fell only due to colonial exploitation. Now the Maddisson study, endorsed by OECD, is the most authentic economic history of the world.[1]
Such has been the neglect on India’s prowess. But the sad state of affairs is that everything that India ever achieved has to be validated by someone from outside. As Gandhiji said, “First they ignore you, then they laugh at you, then they fight you, then you win.”
Angus Maddison’s Research and Findings
Angus Maddison’s works have assumed significance because for the first time that certain vital economic data for different countries and the world were provided. The GDP figures of the world and different countries/regions during 1 AD reveals clearly the predominance of the Indian economy. Indian economy denotes the economy of the undivided India as existed during 1 AD.
Table 1: World GDP (1 AD)
(million 1990 international $)
Year |
1 AD |
Total Western Europe |
11,115 |
Eastern Europe |
1,900 |
Former USSR |
1,560 |
Total Western offshoots |
468 |
Total Latin America |
2,240 |
Japan |
1,200 |
China |
26,820 |
India |
33,750 |
Other Asia |
16,470 |
Total Asia (excluding Japan) |
77,040 |
Africa |
7,013 |
World |
1,02,536 |
Source: Maddison, Angus, The World Economy – A Millennial Perspective, 1st Indian Edition, Overseas Press (India) Pvt. Ltd. New Delhi, 2003, p.261.
Table 1 shows the total GDP of the world at $102.5 billion. India was the largest contributor to the global GDP at that time with $33.75 billion. China was following India with $26.82 billion. Africa’s contribution was $7.01 billion, while that of Japan was $1.2 billion.[2]
Table 2: Percentage Share of countries/regions in World GDP (1 AD)
Year |
1 AD |
Total Western Europe |
10.8 |
Eastern Europe |
1.9 |
Former USSR |
1.5 |
Total Western offshoots |
0.5 |
Total Latin America |
2.2 |
Japan |
1.2 |
China |
26.2 |
India |
32.9 |
Other Asia |
16.1 |
Total Asia (excluding Japan) |
75.1 |
Africa |
6.8 |
World |
100 |
Source: Maddison, Angus, The World Economy – A Millennial Perspective, 1st Indian Edition, Overseas Press (India) Pvt. Ltd. New Delhi, 2003, p.263.
Table 2 illustrates the predominant position of India in the international economy during the 1 AD. It shows that India’s share of the world was 32.9%. It means that India alone was contributing almost one-third of the global GDP, while all the countries in the rest of the world we jointly contributing the remaining two-thirds. China’s contribution during that period was 26.2%. India and China together were contributing 59.1% to the global economy. While the other countries in Asia were contributing 16.1%, Japan’s share was 1.2%. The total contribution of Asia including Japan was an astonishing 76.3%. While the total Western Europe was contributing 10.8%, Africa’s contribution was 6.8%. It is significant to note that India’s GDP was slightly more than three times of the GDP of the total Western Europe. No country or even geographical region was anywhere nearer to India, except China. Even when compared with China, India’s GDP was more than 125%.[3]
Table 3: GDP of India and other countries/regions (1 AD to 1700)
(million 1990 international $)
Country |
0 |
1000 |
1500 |
1600 |
1700 |
Austria |
1414 |
2093 |
2483 |
||
Belguim |
1225 |
1561 |
2288 |
||
Denmark |
443 |
569 |
727 |
||
Finland |
136 |
215 |
255 |
||
France |
10912 |
15559 |
21180 |
||
Germany |
8112 |
12432 |
13410 |
||
Italy |
11550 |
14410 |
14630 |
||
Netherlands |
716 |
2052 |
4009 |
||
Norway |
192 |
304 |
450 |
||
Sweden |
382 |
626 |
1231 |
||
Switzerland |
482 |
880 |
1253 |
||
U.K. |
2815 |
6007 |
10709 |
||
12 Countries Total |
38379 |
56708 |
72625 |
||
Portugal |
632 |
850 |
1708 |
||
Spain |
4744 |
7416 |
7893 |
||
Others |
590 |
981 |
1169 |
||
Total Western Europe |
11115 |
10165 |
44345 |
65955 |
83395 |
Eastern Europe |
1900 |
2600 |
6237 |
8743 |
10647 |
Former USSR |
1560 |
2840 |
8475 |
11447 |
16222 |
United States |
800 |
600 |
527 |
||
Other Western Offshoots |
320 |
320 |
300 |
||
Total Western Offshoots |
468 |
784 |
1120 |
920 |
827 |
Mexico |
3188 |
1134 |
2558 |
||
Other Latin America |
4100 |
2623 |
3813 |
||
Total Latin America |
2240 |
4560 |
7288 |
3757 |
6371 |
Japan |
1200 |
3188 |
7700 |
9620 |
15390 |
China |
26820 |
26550 |
61800 |
96000 |
82800 |
India |
33750 |
33750 |
60500 |
74250 |
90750 |
Total Asian Countries |
16470 |
18630 |
31301 |
36725 |
40567 |
Total Asia (Excluding Japan) |
77040 |
78930 |
153601 |
206975 |
214117 |
Africa |
7013 |
13723 |
18400 |
22000 |
24400 |
World |
102536 |
116790 |
247116 |
329417 |
371369 |
Source: Maddison, Angus, The World Economy – A Millennial Perspective, 1st Indian Edition, Overseas Press (India) Pvt. Ltd. New Delhi, 2003, p.261.
Table 3 shows that while the GDP of India had remained the same in terms of dollar values for thousand years since 1 AD, there was a small decline in the case of China as well as the total Western Europe. Only the share of Africa had increased notably during this period. During 1500, while the GDP of India had increased to $60.5 billion, the GDP of China touched $61.8 billion. There are two notable developments in this period. One is for the first time in the previous two thousand years, India’s position as the number one economy was overtaken by another country, namely China. The other one is that for the first time in history, the UK and the US enter the GDP map of the world along with many other western countries. At that time, while the GDP of the UK was $2.81 billion, that of the US was $800 million. The data for the next two hundred years reveal that in 1700, India again becomes the number one country in terms of economic performance in the world. So the contemporary economic figures clearly reveal that India had remained as the premier economic power almost till 1700, with declines during 1500 and 1600.[4]
Table 4: GDP Share of India and Other Countries/regions (1 AD to 1700)
Country |
0 |
1000 |
1500 |
1600 |
1700 |
Austria |
0.6 |
0.6 |
0.7 |
||
Belguim |
0.5 |
0.5 |
0.6 |
||
Denmark |
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
||
Finland |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
||
France |
4.4 |
4.7 |
5.7 |
||
Germany |
3.3 |
3.8 |
3.6 |
||
Italy |
4.7 |
4.4 |
3.9 |
||
Netherlands |
0.3 |
0.6 |
1.1 |
||
Norway |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
||
Sweden |
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.3 |
||
Switzerland |
0.2 |
0.3 |
0.3 |
||
U.K. |
1.1 |
1.8 |
2.9 |
||
12 Countries Total |
15.5 |
17.2 |
19.5 |
||
Portugal |
0.3 |
0.3 |
0.5 |
||
Spain |
1.9 |
2.1 |
2.2 |
||
Others |
0.2 |
0.3 |
0.3 |
||
Total Western Europe |
10.8 |
8.7 |
17.9 |
19.9 |
22.5 |
Eastern Europe |
1.9 |
2.2 |
2.5 |
2.7 |
2.9 |
Former USSR |
1.5 |
2.4 |
3.4 |
3.5 |
4.4 |
United States |
0.3 |
0.2 |
0.1 |
||
Other Western Offshoots |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
||
Total Western Offshoots |
0.5 |
0.7 |
0.5 |
0.3 |
0.2 |
Mexico |
1.3 |
0.3 |
0.7 |
||
Other Latin America |
1.7 |
0.8 |
1 |
||
Total Latin America |
2.2 |
3.9 |
2.9 |
1.1 |
1.7 |
Japan |
1.2 |
2.7 |
3.1 |
2.9 |
4.1 |
China |
26.2 |
22.7 |
25 |
29.2 |
22.3 |
India |
32.9 |
28.9 |
24.5 |
22.6 |
24.4 |
Total Asian Countries |
16.1 |
16 |
12.7 |
11.2 |
10.9 |
Total Asia (Excluding Japan) |
75.1 |
67.6 |
62.1 |
62.9 |
57.6 |
Africa |
6.8 |
11.8 |
7.4 |
6.7 |
6.6 |
World |
100 |
100 |
100 |
100 |
100 |
Source: Maddison, Angus, The World Economy – A Millennial Perspective, 1st Indian Edition, Overseas Press (India) Pvt. Ltd. New Delhi, 2003, p.263.
Table 4 shows the share of global GDP for different countries for the first 1700 years in the previous 2000 years of world history. The position of India as the topmost economic power had continued uninterrupted, for the longest period during the last two millennia, till 1500. Even during 1500, China’s GDP was only more than 0.5% of India’s GDP. Such a high performance testifies that of the previous twenty centuries, without any competition from any other nation in the world. But, there is a real decline in 1600 and thereafter India regained her position as the top economic power in 1700, leading China by a margin of 2.1%. So it could be said that for about 80% of the time in history of previous two millennia, India was the premier economy. This is an excellent and unparalled performance in the history of the world.
During 1 AD to 1700, while the share of India in global GDP had declined from 32.9% to 24.4%, the share of China had declined from 26.2% to 22.3%. As a result, in the same period, the share of Asia had declined from 75.1% to 57.6%. But at the same time the share of the total Western Europe had increased during the above period from 10.8% to 22.5%. While the share of Africa had slightly decreased during the above period from 6.8% to 6.6%, Japan had increased its share from 1.2% to 4.1%. The share of increase for the total Western Europe is more from 1000 onwards. In fact, it was only this region that had gained the most during 1000 to 1700. The share of UK had shown an increase of 264% in just two centuries, between 1500 and 1700, with its actual share moving from 1.1% to 2.9%. This is a high increase for a country that first appeared in the global GDP map only in 1500. It is interesting to note that the share of the US had declined from 0.3% to 0.1% during 1500 to 1700. The share of India was the highest in the world in 1700, followed by China. There was an important development in economic history during this period. For the first time in history, the share of the total Western Europe was more than the share of China.[5]
Table 5: GDP of different countries (1700 – 1950)
(million 1990 International $)
Year |
1700 |
1820 |
1870 |
1913 |
1950 |
Austria |
2483 |
4104 |
8419 |
23451 |
25702 |
Belgium |
2288 |
4529 |
13746 |
32347 |
47190 |
Denmark |
727 |
1470 |
3782 |
11670 |
29654 |
Finland |
255 |
913 |
1999 |
6389 |
17051 |
France |
21180 |
38434 |
72100 |
144489 |
220492 |
Germany |
13410 |
26349 |
71429 |
237332 |
265354 |
Italy |
14630 |
22535 |
41814 |
95487 |
164957 |
Netherlands |
4009 |
4288 |
9952 |
24955 |
60642 |
Norway |
450 |
1071 |
2485 |
6119 |
17838 |
Sweden |
1231 |
3098 |
6927 |
17403 |
47269 |
Switzerland |
1253 |
2342 |
5867 |
16483 |
42545 |
UK |
10709 |
36232 |
100179 |
224618 |
347850 |
12 Countries Total |
72625 |
145366 |
338699 |
840743 |
1286544 |
Portugal |
1708 |
3175 |
4338 |
7467 |
17615 |
Spain |
7893 |
12975 |
22295 |
45686 |
66792 |
Others |
1169 |
2206 |
4891 |
12478 |
30600 |
Total Western Europe |
83395 |
163722 |
370223 |
906374 |
1401551 |
Eastern Europe |
10647 |
23146 |
45448 |
121559 |
185023 |
Former USSR |
16222 |
37716 |
83646 |
232351 |
510243 |
USA |
527 |
12548 |
98374 |
517383 |
1455916 |
Other Western Offshoots |
300 |
941 |
13781 |
68249 |
179574 |
Total Western Offshoots |
827 |
13489 |
112155 |
585632 |
1635490 |
Mexico |
2558 |
5000 |
6214 |
25921 |
67368 |
Other Latin America |
3813 |
9120 |
21683 |
95760 |
356188 |
Total Latin America |
6379 |
14120 |
27897 |
121681 |
423556 |
Japan |
15390 |
20739 |
25393 |
71653 |
160966 |
China |
82800 |
228600 |
189740 |
241344 |
239903 |
India |
90750 |
111417 |
134882 |
204241 |
222222 |
Other Asian Countries |
40567 |
50486 |
72173 |
146999 |
362578 |
Total Asia (excluding Japan) |
214117 |
390503 |
396795 |
592584 |
824703 |
Africa |
24400 |
31010 |
40172 |
72948 |
194569 |
World |
371369 |
694442 |
1101369 |
2704782 |
5336101 |
Source: Maddison, Angus, The World Economy – A Millennial Perspective, 1st Indian Edition, Overseas Press (India) Pvt. Ltd. New Delhi, 2003, p.261.
During this period of 250 years, many significant changes had taken place in the world economy. The western countries became economically powerful. By 1820, China replaced India as the largest contributor to the global economy. Asia had to lose its long held supremacy as the economic powerhouse of the world. By 1913, the US became the largest contributor to the global economy.[6]
Table 6: Share of different countries in World GDP (1700 – 1950)
(percent of world total)
Year |
1700 |
1820 |
1870 |
1913 |
1950 |
Austria |
0.7 |
0.6 |
0.8 |
0.9 |
0.5 |
Belgium |
0.6 |
0.7 |
1.2 |
1.2 |
0.9 |
Denmark |
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.3 |
0.4 |
0.6 |
Finland |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.3 |
France |
5.7 |
5.5 |
6.5 |
5.3 |
4.1 |
Germany |
3.6 |
3.8 |
6.5 |
8.8 |
5.0 |
Italy |
3.9 |
3.2 |
3.8 |
3.5 |
3.1 |
Netherlands |
1.1 |
0.6 |
0.9 |
0.9 |
1.1 |
Norway |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.3 |
Sweden |
0.3 |
0.4 |
0.6 |
0.6 |
0.9 |
Switzerland |
0.3 |
0.3 |
0.5 |
0.6 |
0.8 |
UK |
2.9 |
5.2 |
9.1 |
8.3 |
6.5 |
12 Countries Total |
19.5 |
20.9 |
30.7 |
31.1 |
24.1 |
Portugal |
0.5 |
0.5 |
0.4 |
0.3 |
0.3 |
Spain |
2.2 |
1.9 |
2.0 |
1.7 |
1.3 |
Others |
0.3 |
0.3 |
0.4 |
0.5 |
0.6 |
Total Western Europe |
22.5 |
23.6 |
33.6 |
33.5 |
26.3 |
Eastern Europe |
2.9 |
3.3 |
4.1 |
4.5 |
3.5 |
Former USSR |
4.4 |
5.4 |
7.6 |
8.6 |
9.6 |
USA |
0.1 |
1.8 |
8.9 |
19.1 |
27.3 |
Other Western Offshoots |
0.1 |
0.1 |
1.3 |
2.5 |
3.4 |
Total Western Offshoots |
0.2 |
1.9 |
10.2 |
21.7 |
30.6 |
Mexico |
0.7 |
0.7 |
0.6 |
1.0 |
1.3 |
Other Latin America |
1.0 |
1.3 |
2.0 |
3.5 |
6.7 |
Total Latin America |
1.7 |
2.0 |
2.5 |
4.5 |
7.9 |
Japan |
4.1 |
3.0 |
2.3 |
2.6 |
3.0 |
China |
22.3 |
32.9 |
17.2 |
8.9 |
4.5 |
India |
24.4 |
16.0 |
12.2 |
7.6 |
4.2 |
Other Asian Countries |
10.9 |
7.3 |
6.6 |
5.4 |
6.8 |
Total Asia (excluding Japan) |
57.6 |
56.2 |
36.0 |
21.9 |
15.5 |
Africa |
6.6 |
4.5 |
3.6 |
2.7 |
3.6 |
World |
100 |
100 |
100 |
100 |
100 |
Source: Maddison, Angus, The World Economy – A Millennial Perspective, 1st Indian Edition, Overseas Press (India) Pvt. Ltd. New Delhi, 2003, p.263.
Table 6 shows that since 1700, the contribution of India to the global GDP had been continuously falling. As a result, within a period of just 120 years between 1700 and 1820, more than one-third of India’s economy was wiped out. By 1820, India’s GDP had declined to around 66% of what it was in 1700. India that remained the leader, far ahead of the others as an economic superpower since the ancient times, had to lose her long held premier status in 1820. Thereafter, the decline was steady, and in the next 130 years, nearly 75% of her economic worth of 1820 was again wiped out. In just 250 years about 83% of India’s economy was completely ruined. By 1950, India’s share of GDP became nearly one sixth of what it was in 1700. Even though China took over the position of India as the largest contributor in 1820, its share had also declined very fast. As a result, China’s contribution to the global GDP was 4.5% in 1950, just 0.3% more than that of India. The share of Asia declined to 15.5% from 57.6% in 250 years. By 1913, Asia had lost her status as the largest contributor of the world economy to the total Western Europe.[7]
The contribution of the UK to the world economy in 1870 was 319% of what it was in 1700. Thereafter, the share of UK declined to 6.5% in 1950. The share of total Western Europe had increased from 22.5% to 26.3% during this period of 250 years. The US had emerged as the largest contributor in 1913 with a share of 19.1% and its contribution reached 27.3% in 1950. The biggest gainer during this period of 250 years was the US. The share of Africa had declined from 6.6% to 3.6% during the period. It is important to note that while the shares of traditional powers led by India and China had drastically declined, the shares of the Western nations led by Europe and later US had increased manifold.[7]
Playing a big hand in destroying the Indian economy, the British exercised their policies by leeching on India for resources. Maddison notes that the policy of the East India Company regarding taxes. “The main objectives of the company were to enrich its officials and finance its exports from the tax revenues of the province instead of shipping bullion to India.”[8] He also informs that the taxes collected from India were used to expand the British Empire. “The hard core of the Empire was India, with three quarters of its population. Indian taxation financed a large army under British control, which could be deployed to serve British objectives elsewhere in Asia, the Middle East and eventually in Europe.”[9]
Conclusion
Before one is oblivious to these pieces of research and findings, India will remain as a third world country trying to achieve unrealistic goals. But as Indians, when one goes through Paul Bairoch’s and Angus Maddison’s research there is big paradigm shift in the way Indians see themselves. A lot of pride is restored and seeing India as a future economic giant is never going to be an impossible task. Indians can say to themselves that, “Been there, done that and it is only a matter of time before we pick ourselves up and work for the glory of the nation”. The slave mentality goes through a fillip and Indians are the new masters of the world. With a strong cultural setup where human relations are more important than anything else in the world, the day is not far when the indigenous economic model backed by the sociocultural setup is discussed and followed. That will lead Indians to glory and India will once again become the most prosperous nation in the world.
Reference
1. Gurumurthy S., ‘Boss, read the true history before speaking’, The New Indian Express, 6th April 2013.
2. Kanagasabapathi P, Indian Models of Economy, Business and Management, 3rd Edition, PHI Learning Pvt. Ltd., New Delhi, 2012, p. 8.
3. Kanagasabapathi P, Indian Models of Economy, Business and Management, 3rd Edition, PHI Learning Pvt. Ltd., New Delhi, 2012, p. 9.
4. Kanagasabapathi P, Indian Models of Economy, Business and Management, 3rd Edition, PHI Learning Pvt. Ltd., New Delhi, 2012, p. 31.
5. Kanagasabapathi P, Indian Models of Economy, Business and Management, 3rd Edition, PHI Learning Pvt. Ltd., New Delhi, 2012, p. 32-33.
6. Kanagasabapathi P, Indian Models of Economy, Business and Management, 3rd Edition, PHI Learning Pvt. Ltd., New Delhi, 2012, p. 37.
7. Kanagasabapathi P, Indian Models of Economy, Business and Management, 3rd Edition, PHI Learning Pvt. Ltd., New Delhi, 2012, p. 38-39.
8. Kanagasabapathi P, Indian Models of Economy, Business and Management, 3rd Edition, PHI Learning Pvt. Ltd., New Delhi, 2012, p. 44.
9. Kanagasabapathi P, Indian Models of Economy, Business and Management, 3rd Edition, PHI Learning Pvt. Ltd., New Delhi, 2012, p. 46.